Reconnect Research, in partnership with Probolsky Research conducted a Redirected Inbound Call Sampling (RICS), English and Spanish language telephone survey among likely Georgia Senate Runoff Election voters.
Our poll found Republican Senator Perdue with a 1%-point lead over Democratic challenger Ossoff, and Democratic challenger Warnock with a 1% lead over Republican Senator Loeffler. There were 15% undecided in both races. To see how our poll compares to other pollsters, see Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight
“With the sizable undecided voters, either candidate could win in these two seats,” explained pollster Adam Probolsky. “We found it interesting that both Democratic challengers had the support from 8% of Republican voters. The Republican candidates pull about half that percentage of Democratic voters.”
Target Population: English-speaking adults aged 18 years or older, who are using the telephone to place a call. Data were gathered throughout the 24-hour day.
Field Period Dates: December 14 – 20, 2020.
Methodology: Redirected inbound call sampling (RICS) is an emerging nonprobability telephone sampling methodology, created by Reconnect Research. With RICS, telephone calls to nonworking numbers are redirected for screening, recruitment, and data collection via interactive voice response (IVR). Data collection using RICS is a cost-effective fit-for-purpose solution.
Sampling Frame: The sampling frame for this survey is a set of phone calls (and the phone numbers from which the calls were placed and the persons who made them) in the United States that were placed during the days and nights of the field period, in which the call did not reach its intended party and was by happenstance redirected by the telephone service company handling the call to Reconnect Research. This generates a non-probability sample of the U.S. (see Levine et al., 2019). People not covered by this frame are those who did not place a call during the field period and those who placed a call, but their call reached the party they intended. People in the U.S. who placed a call during this time period that was handled by a telecom company other than the telecom company vendors contracted by Reconnect Research also are not covered by this frame. Thus, the vast majority of telephone calls placed in the U.S. during the field period were not covered by this frame.